How many quality-adjusted life years will "Long Covid" take away from an average adult on the West Coast of the United States of America?

Provide both a # (or confidence interval + mean) and a citation or explanation for your prediction. The answer with the most convincing evidence will win. If two answers are equally persuasive, I will choose the one with the tighter range. Definitions: - Long Covid: Whatever the Wikipedia page says at the time the question is resolved. If someone meddles with the Wikipedia page at that time, I will use the newest one that has not been screwed up. - Average adult: Younger than ~65 years old. Older than ~18 years old. Exceptional Circumstances: - If a very definitive answer falls out of the sky and no one happens to reference it, I reserve the right to resolve the question based on whoever's closest to that #. - If all the sources are equally muddled or there are reports that we've been thinking about this all wrong, the question may be resolved as N/A. Jun 21, 12:02am: Should've mentioned that I'm interested in outcomes for fully vaccinated people. And by that, I mean "2 shots plus 1 or plus 2, if immunocompromised". In other words, assume that this person has read https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/z8usYeKX7dtTWsEnk/more-dakka. Jun 21, 12:02am: For comparison, https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25074692/ says the years lived disabled or injured (YLD) is about 18.4 years for car occupants. Jun 29, 10:30pm: Jack correctly pointed out that this question wasn't very clear. I'm revising this question's definition of "Long COVID" to include all long-lasting impacts of COVID-19. In light of the WHO web page and his question, I would include "Long COVID", "PICS", "Permanent", and "Mortality" from table 5 of https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9009167/ even though "acute" should be at least partially included. I'd have a hard time arguing with someone who spent the last >1 months in an ICU if they say that their "acute" DALY loss was a pretty "long-lasting" chunk of their lifespan if they've only lived for 10 years.

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