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MANIFOLD
Will the winner of the Golden Boot only win because of their performance in the 3rd place match?
3
Ṁ1kṀ48
Jul 18
18%
chance

Stats recorded in the 3rd place game count towards the Golden Boot for the tournament. This means remaining teams are in the unique position of being guaranteed 2 more games even if they lose the next game. This could potentially lead to the Golden Boot winner coming from a player who ran up their stats in the less important 3rd place game after being eliminated from 1st place contention.

This market resolves YES if the winner of the Golden Boot in the 2026 FIFA World Cup would not have won without the goal(s)/assist(s) they recorded in the 3rd place match.

I will resolve this by looking at the final Golden Boot standings, according to official sources, and removing any goals/assists that the winner recorded in the 3rd place game. If removing this changes the winner that will give a YES resolution.

If the Golden Boot winner takes part in the 1st place game then this market will resolve NO without any adjustments needed.

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