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MANIFOLD
Will Ronaldo retire above the age of 43?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ251
2028
22%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Cristiano Ronaldo remains an active professional club football player on or after his 43rd birthday (February 5, 2028), or if he officially announces his retirement from all professional club football on or after that date.

Specifically:

  • Birthdate: Cristiano Ronaldo was born on February 5, 1985. He turns 43 on February 5, 2028.

  • Yes Resolution: He must be signed to a professional football club, be registered in a professional first-team squad, or have his retirement officially announced/take effect on or after February 5, 2028.

  • No Resolution: He officially retires from professional club football, or his final professional contract ends without him signing a new one, prior to February 5, 2028.

  • International vs. Club Retirement: Retirement solely from international football (e.g., the Portugal national team) does not trigger a "No" resolution as long as he continues to play professional club football.

  • Free Agency Edge Case: If Ronaldo is a free agent on February 5, 2028, but has not officially retired, the market will remain open. If he subsequently signs with a professional club or officially announces his retirement after this date, the market resolves YES. However, if he remains a free agent for more than 12 consecutive months starting prior to February 5, 2028, without signing a new contract, the market will resolve NO (unless there is documented proof he is actively sidelined by a long-term injury with explicit intent to return).

  • Death or Permanent Incapacitation: If Ronaldo passes away or becomes permanently incapacitated before February 5, 2028, without having officially retired, the market will resolve NO.

Background

Cristiano Ronaldo currently plays for Saudi Pro League club Al-Nassr, with his contract running until the summer of 2027. Following Portugal's exit from the 2026 World Cup, speculation regarding his retirement has intensified. While reports suggest he may wind down his international career with Portugal, he has repeatedly voiced his desire to continue playing club football and chase career milestones, such as reaching 1,000 official goals. To play past the age of 43, Ronaldo will need to extend his club career into the 2027–28 season and remain active past February 5, 2028.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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