MANIFOLD
Which color marble will participate and win the next "Choose a Marble" race in Chiseled Adonis's channel after Mar. 7?
3
Ṁ225Ṁ310
resolved Mar 9
100%12%
Gold
11%
Amber
1.5%
Black
11%
Blue
11%
Green
15%
Pink
11%
Rainbow
14%
Red
13%
Silver

Resolution Criteria

The market resolves to whichever color marble wins the next "Choose a Marble" race published on Chiseled Adonis's main YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@chiseledadonis) after March 7, 2026 PST. Resolution is determined by the race outcome as presented in the video. If no such race is published within two weeks after the market closes, the market resolves N/A.

Background

"Choose a Marble" races are a recurring content format on Chiseled Adonis's channel, where marbles of different colors compete in races. The channel is known for entertainment and commentary content with a substantial following.

This description was generated by AI and edited by the creator.

  • Update 2026-02-27 (PST) (AI and creator summary of creator comment): Participation requirement clarified: If a marble color does not participate in the race, that answer resolves to No.

Market context
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The result is in!

Team Pink vs Team Gold | Marble Racing Showdown

Gold marble wins!

What if there is no marble of the chosen colour in the race?

Ahh, no participation = "no".

@AlanTennant yep! That’s right!

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