When creating a prediction market for progress of many tasks, should I use numeric or MC resolved to partial?
3
resolved Mar 16
Yes/No resolved to partial probability
Numeric
Other
Let's say that I want to create a prediction market that predicts my progress of my tasks that can be split into 2 categories: chores and assignments. Would it be better to create a numeric market that counts the number of tasks altogether or a multiple choice with an option for each category that resolves to a partial based on progress and completion?
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