Background

Monero (XMR) is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency that currently trades above $200. Multiple cryptocurrency analysis platforms have made predictions about Monero's price trajectory through 2025:

• Changelly predicts a minimum price of $149.22 in January 2025

• 3commas forecasts a minimum value around $204.15

• Digital Coin Price projects significantly higher values, with minimum prices above $445

Resolution Criteria

• Market resolves YES if the price of XMR falls below $200 USD at any point before January 1, 2025 (00:00 UTC)

• Market resolves NO if XMR maintains a price above $200 USD throughout 2024

• Price will be determined using the daily low price on major cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance, Kraken, or CoinGecko

• Brief price wicks below $200 due to market manipulation or technical glitches that recover within 1 hour will not count for resolution

• If trading of XMR is suspended or delisted from all major exchanges, the market will resolve based on the last valid trading price

Considerations

• Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile and can be affected by various factors including regulatory changes, market sentiment, and technological developments

• Past performance and price predictions should not be considered guaranteed indicators of future performance

• The privacy features of Monero make it particularly susceptible to regulatory risks that could impact its price