If “Amount Bet” on their website shows more than $1 billion for “Presidential Election Winner 2024” before it resolves, then this will resolve YES.
The current amount bet (as of August 3) is around $492 million.
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024
The question on Polymarket currently is set to end on Nov 4.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ663 | |
| 2 | Ṁ577 | |
| 3 | Ṁ105 | |
| 4 | Ṁ78 | |
| 5 | Ṁ47 |
People are also trading
If you want to bet when the market will cross over $1B, I have a Plus market here:
https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/when-will-polymarkets-main-us-presi
Wall Street Journal reporter Alexander Osipovich noted the reported Polymarket volume on the 2024 presidential election was over $500 million as of August 8. (Though @WojtekKowaluk pointed out that they report using shares traded * $1 which inflates the volume substantially).
"Amount Bet" on Polymarket is Total Notional Value Volume, which basically means number of shares traded * $1.