Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2040?
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2040?
40
131Ṁ22842040
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Millennium Prize Problems are well-known complex mathematical problems selected by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. The Clay Institute has pledged a US$1 million prize for the first correct solution to each problem.
The AI system must independently solve the Millennium Prize Problem without any human assistance during the solution process. Humans can only set up the AI architecture and train it on publicly available knowledge.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
34% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2035?
60% chance
Will an AI System Solve One of the Remaining Millennium Prize Problems by June 2025?
1% chance
Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
89% chance
Will a Millennium Prize problem be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
4% chance
Before what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
AI solves Millenium Prize Problem in 2025?
4% chance
Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?
73% chance
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
41% chance