In what year will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid?
4
1kṀ480
2071
August 16, 2046
21%
2030-2034
17%
2035-2039
13%
2040-2044
11%
2045-2049
11%
2050-2054
9%
2055-2059
9%
2060-2064
8%
2065-2070

Resolution Criteria

  1. “Yes” Resolution:
    The market resolves to Yes if before your selected date, at least one nuclear fusion facility meets these requirements:

    • The facility must demonstrate a net energy gain, producing more electrical energy than the total energy required to sustain and operate the reactor

    • Is connected to a power grid (so that homes, businesses, or other customers use this electricity).

    • Maintains a net electrical output of at least 1 megawatt to the grid.

    • Operates under the above conditions for a sustained period of at least 30 consecutive days.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Need 2025-2029...

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules