Will Cochrane retract their Review of Exercise Therapy for ME/CFS or publish an updated review (against GET) by 2029?
Basic
5
Ṁ127
2028
79%
chance

In 2019 Cochrane published a review concluding graded exercise therapy (GET) was beneficial for people with ME/CFS.

This goes against nearly every other major organisation, whom say that exercise therapy is harmful for people with ME/CFS:

  • CDC (Since 2017) (US)

    NICE and NHS (since 2021) (UK)

  • Mayo Clinic (Since 2024) (US)

  • Australian ME/CFS Guidelines (Since 2024) (Australia)

etc.

An open letter signed by nearly every major ME/CFS patient organisation asks for the retraction of the 2019 review.

In 2019 Cochrane acknowledged that the review was still outdated as published. The patient community was promised a new review would be worked on and published.

The updates from this new review have been minimal, and as of 2024, it is unclear to what extent the process is ongoing. Even a protocol has yet to be published.

This question will resolve to yes if:

  • Cochrane withdraws the 2019 review before 1st Jan 2029

OR

  • Cochrane publishes a new review before 1st Jan 2029, concluding that GET is harmful.

Otherwise it shall resolve to no.

I will abstain from betting here.

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Ṁ1,000
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