MANIFOLD
Will Israel's skies close in January, and when?
16
Ṁ1kṀ12k
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
Later/never
100%99.0%
Later/never
0.3%
Jan 14-17, 2026
0.3%
Jan 18-23, 2026
0.3%
Jan 24-Jan 31, 2026

Amid the ongoing Iran protests there is a risk that the US or Israel will strike Iran, and Iran will retaliate with rocket strikes on Israel, or that Iran will do so preemptively.

In the Iran/Israel war (12 day war), Israel closed its skies.

Will this happen in January or not, and if so when will it start?

Resolution will be on the day a NOTAM is released by Israel ending all civilian air traffic for any length of time, or on February the 1st of that hasn't happened by then. All dates are in Israel time.

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