Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FC Barcelona loses their next official match against Real Madrid, commonly known as "El Clásico." The match is scheduled for May 11, 2025, at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys in Barcelona. If the match is postponed or canceled and not rescheduled within the 2024-2025 season, the market will resolve to "N/A."
Background
As of May 7, 2025, FC Barcelona leads La Liga with a four-point advantage over Real Madrid. The upcoming El Clásico is pivotal, as a Barcelona victory would significantly bolster their title chances, while a Real Madrid win would narrow the gap, intensifying the title race. (as.com)
Barcelona recently faced a setback, being eliminated from the UEFA Champions League semifinals by Inter Milan. Additionally, key defender Jules Koundé sustained a hamstring injury on May 1, 2025, and is expected to be sidelined for approximately three weeks, likely missing the upcoming El Clásico. (reuters.com)
Historically, Real Madrid holds a slight edge in El Clásico encounters, with 105 wins to Barcelona's 102, and 52 matches ending in a draw. (amp.sportsmole.co.uk)
Upcoming El Clásico: Key Developments:
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