Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin's price reaches $120,000 USD or higher at any point before 11:59 PM UTC on December 1st, 2025. Resolution will be determined by checking the price on major cryptocurrency exchanges (Coinbase, CoinMarketCap, or CoinGecko). The resolution uses the highest price recorded across these sources during the specified timeframe.

Background

Bitcoin's all-time high is $126,210.50, reached on October 6, 2025. Bitcoin plunged below $100,000 for the first time in more than four months in early November 2025, as cryptocurrency holders backed off the risk-on asset amid growing concerns about the sustainability of stock valuations driven by the artificial intelligence trade. Bitcoin broke below $100,000 late on Tuesday for the first time since May 2025, as billions in leveraged positions were liquidated, plunging to an intraday low of $99,980 before stabilizing on Wednesday at around $101,700.

Considerations

November is historically Bitcoin's best month, but the price may remain in the $107,000 to $113,000 range. The $120,000 target requires Bitcoin to recover approximately 18% from current levels within 25 days. According to one forecast, Bitcoin is expected to increase by 6.74% over the next month and reach $110,487 by December 6, 2025.