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MANIFOLD
Will Rayan Cherki be a starter for France at Euro 2028 or the 2030 World Cup?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ27
2030
59%
chance

Resolves YES if Cherki starts (starting XI) in at least half of France's matches at UEFA Euro 2028. If he doesn't meet that bar at Euro 2028 (bench/rotation role, injury, or not selected), the market stays open and re-checks at the 2030 World Cup — resolves YES if he starts at least half of France's matches there instead.

Resolves NO if he fails to be a starter (per the above bar) in both tournaments, or isn't selected to either squad.

Context: Zidane takes over as France head coach from September 2026. Cherki's role was inconsistent under outgoing coach Deschamps at the 2026 World Cup, with recurring debate over his playing time.

Resolution source: official France squad sheets and match reports (L'Équipe, RMC Sport, UEFA/FIFA).

Market context
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