Will S&P 500 increase more than Dow Jones in February 2023?
2
119
70
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
YES

Will the S&P 500 increase more or decrease less than the Dow Jones Industrial Average from open on 1 February 2023 to close on 28 February 2023?

Increase is calculated per cent as 2 (p1 - p0) / (p1 + p0).

S&P 500

2023-02-01 open: 4070.07

2023-02-28 close: 3970.15

Per cent change:

2 (3970.15 - 4070.07) / (3970.15 + 4070.07) = −0.024855041

DJIA

2023-02-01 open: 34039.60

2023-02-28 close: 32656.70

Per cent change:

2 (32656.70 - 34039.60) / (32656.70 + 34039.60) = −0.041468567

Sources:

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/DJIA/historical-prices

Close date updated to 2023-03-15 8:00 pm

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predicted YES

Why wait so long for close and resolve?

predicted YES

@deagol Was hoping for more people so i get bonuses but ok

In January, S&P 500 change was

2 (4076.60 - 3853.29) / (4076.60 + 3853.29) = 5.6321084%

higher than Dow Jones's

2 (34086.04 - 33148.90) / (34086.04 + 33148.90) = 2.7876577%

Using the traditional method of calculation, the per cent changes were

(4076.60 - 3853.29) / 3853.29 = 5.7953074%

(34086.04 - 33148.90) / 33148.90 = 2.8270621%

leading to a greater difference than using my formula.

bought Ṁ4 of YES

02-03 SPX 0.016152695 DJIA −0.003342573