Will Destiny go live by 4pm on Jan 4th?
31
94
610
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 4th. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

It seems like this is disputed whether or not he went live on time, so I'll just let @Frozen @DavidDavidson and @Previnity claim this for their troubles

predicted YES

@DesTiny There has to be a better way to transfer M. I got one, but I bet someone is gonna miss out.

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson I agree, but I hope me @-ing them will make it more likely they'll get it first

predicted YES

@DesTiny insanely retarded two questions with the exact same criteria resolved differently.

predicted YES

Extremely obviously just paying yourself out given there was any possibility of scamming.

predicted YES

@Frozen Damn you got double fucked too because you arbitraged the other market lol. Here https://manifold.markets/link/KJgI2NYI

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson damn how much did he lose?

predicted YES

@DesTiny As the biggest YES holder, I claimed one, too. #BotLivesMatter

predicted YES

@DesTiny Only 200, but he's just starting.

predicted YES

Yeah, totally didnt notice this till now. I will say, the frame Destiny's PC clock hits the 3min mark, the duration is 2:51, so it seems like we missed it by a few seconds regardless. Gg boys

predicted YES

@DesTiny just saying, fucking over arbitrageurs is not worth the quick buck because we add liquidity and efficiency to the markets

predicted NO

@Frozen I didn't mean to fuck you over man, if you're worried about your profit and not just money I could make a market for you lol. Didn't mean any harm

predicted YES

@Frozen I don't think DesTiny did it due to his investment in NO, look at his profile, he's fine with losing a couple hundred M. Also, click the manalink I sent you, no one has claimed it yet. Surprisingly good Manifold community :)

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson I think he might've been upset because it still hurt his overall profits even if he got the money back

predicted YES

@DesTiny Appreciate it. Sorry I got so heated. I was just really excited when I found the market diff and don't even really care about the money just was super bummed I lost on both streets. Sorry for accusing you of profiteering, was not cool of me.

predicted NO

@Frozen nah man I get, it's all good.

predicted NO

@Frozen also claim ur shit

predicted YES

@DesTiny Nah man its really ok. I got wayyy too heated over it. I wasn't able to claim that because I'm on vacation rn and not checking here often but I appreciate the gesture. Also yeah they really fuckin need to add direct sending people mana. I am @frozen in dgg and you can DM me a manalink there if you really wanna send me something but like I said its really all good.

predicted NO

@Frozen well I hope you have a good vacation

predicted YES
predicted YES
bought Ṁ200 of NO

@DavidDavidson the AngelThumps were for xQc beating Forsen

predicted YES
bought Ṁ10 of NO

@DavidDavidson but does this count, system said live 4 seconds after market close

predicted YES

@MrGeniusII The AngelThump spam started before 4pm. The system doesn't instantly say live once he clicks live.

predicted YES

@MrGeniusII This is repeated. Here are the logs for Jan 1st, 2nd, and 3rd. AngelThump spam starts before @system comments.

https://imgur.com/a/D8PNlib

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson Is AngelThump spam a legit indicator of when he went live? More legit than @system comments? Perhaps future markets should clarify how his go-live time will be determined - for now I have accepted that the "NO"s have been scamazed

predicted YES

@OperationIvy85 There are times when there is AngelThump spam and he isn't live, but I've never seen him go live without AngelThump spam. @system comments always occur, but they are delayed by a couple seconds. This hasn't resolved yet @desTiny still could resolve NO.