Will any Big Tech Company Start a Public Prediction Market by the end of July 2027
10
Ṁ15kṀ8.7k2027
28%
Google
53%
Meta
26%
Amazon
21%
Microsoft
26%
OpenAI
29%
Anthropic
32%
SpaceXAi
28%
Bytedance
30%
Reddit
20%
Discord
Resolves YES for a company if, by July 31, 2027, it operates or officially launches a publicly accessible product where users can make predictions on uncertain future events and receive either real money, prizes, points, or play money based on accuracy.
The product must be available to the general public or a broad public region, not merely announced, invite-only, employee-only, or in closed beta. Third-party integrations do not count (e.g., operated by Kalshi but advertised/one-click on Amazon).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Bandors Agree they are the most likely! Thinking about it vs actually executing are different stories though. Example: Apple Car