Is there a trend here I'm missing? This far away from 20% feels like a weird anomaly.

@NevinWetherill they have previously said they launch models on Tuesdays

@StephenMalina Ah, more straightforward than I was expecting.

I wonder if that's hard and fast such that an unexpected 1 day delay would cause them to delay a full week 🤔

Maybe it should be higher than ~50%, maybe even ~90% if they've never broken this trend before on even small models/model updates.

@NevinWetherill yeah to clarify, I haven't confirmed the strength of the trend beyond the tweet, which I now can't find

@StephenMalina GPT-4o was launched on a Monday (May 13, 2024), o1-preview on a Thursday (September 12, 2024) and the full release of o1 also on a Thursday (December 5, 2024). I don't think that this is a real trend.

@cherrvak thanks! I have noticed the deviation as well.