Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the United States Men's National Team (USMNT) wins or draws (ties) its group stage match against Turkey (officially registered as Türkiye) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The market resolves to NO if Turkey wins the match.

• Match details: The fixture is scheduled to take place on June 25, 2026, at SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles Stadium) in Inglewood, California, as part of the Group D round of matches.

• Source of truth: Resolution will be determined using the official match data published on the FIFA World Cup 2026 official website or, as a backup, the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D Wikipedia page.

• Edge cases:

  • If the match is postponed but played before the end of the 2026 World Cup tournament, the market will resolve based on the rescheduled match's result.

  • If the match is completely cancelled or not played during the tournament, the market will resolve to N/A.

  • Only the score at the end of regular play (including injury time) will be considered. (As a group stage match, there is no extra time or penalty shootout).

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team format. The United States (as co-hosts) and Turkey (who qualified via the UEFA play-off Path C) have been drawn into Group D alongside Paraguay and Australia. This final group stage fixture on June 25, 2026, is expected to be a crucial match to determine which teams advance from Group D to the Round of 32.

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