Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before February 28, 2029, at least two individuals other than Elon Musk are officially reported to have a net worth of $1.00 trillion USD ($1,000,000,000,000) or more. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Sources of Truth: The primary sources for resolving this market will be the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List and the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

• Validation: If either of these lists officially records an individual's net worth at or above $1.00 trillion (which may be displayed as $1,000 billion, $1,000.0B, or $1.00T), that individual will be counted.

• Exclusion: Elon Musk is excluded from the count of "two more trillionaires." Any other distinct individuals (e.g., Jeff Bezos, Jensen Huang, Gautam Adani, Larry Page) who reach the milestone will count toward the target.

• Achievement Condition: Once two eligible individuals have reached this threshold at any point before the deadline, the market will resolve to YES immediately. An individual does not need to maintain a net worth of $1 trillion at the exact time of market resolution; briefly crossing the threshold is sufficient.

• Discrepancy Rule: If the two primary tracking indexes conflict or are delayed, the market creator will resolve the market based on consensus reporting from authoritative financial news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times).

Background

In June 2026, Elon Musk was declared the world's first trillionaire by Forbes after SpaceX went public on the Nasdaq, briefly boosting his estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion. While Musk’s net worth has since fluctuated significantly alongside stock volatility, he was the first individual to cross this financial milestone.

Other ultra-wealthy figures—such as Jeff Bezos, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Mark Zuckerberg, and Jensen Huang—currently have fortunes valued in the hundreds of billions. Some financial projection models, such as those from the Informa Connect Academy, have estimated that additional billionaires (most notably Nvidia's Jensen Huang and the Adani Group's Gautam Adani) could reach trillionaire status by 2028 or 2029 if their average annual wealth growth rates persist, making the February 2029 deadline a critical window.

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