Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, between June 26, 2026, and July 24, 2026, inclusive, there are at least two individual Major League Baseball (MLB) games in which a single player hits three or more home runs. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Timeframe: June 26, 2026, through July 24, 2026 (inclusive, based on official MLB game dates). Games that are postponed or suspended and completed outside this window will not count unless the 3+ HR feat itself was achieved during play within the window.

• Feat definition: A single player hitting 3 or more home runs in a single official MLB game.

• Count: There must be at least two separate game instances of this feat (e.g., achieved by two different players in different games, or the same player in two different games). If multiple players achieve the feat in the same game, each player's performance counts as a separate instance.

• Source of Truth: Official box scores and statistics published by MLB.com or verified via Baseball-Reference.

Background

Hitting three home runs in a single game is a rare feat in Major League Baseball. For context, during the 2026 season leading up to this market's start date, notable 3-HR games included Max Muncy on April 10, Kyle Schwarber on June 20, and Junior Caminero on June 25. This market tracks whether the league will see a concentration of at least two such performances over a roughly four-week midsummer stretch.

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