Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, during the period from June 17, 2026, to July 17, 2026, inclusive (based on official MLB game dates), there are at least two Major League Baseball (MLB) games in which a single player hits three or more home runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

Key Details:

• Eligible Games: Regular-season MLB games with an official game date from June 17, 2026, through July 17, 2026, inclusive. Suspended or postponed games will only count if they are completed and officially dated within this window.

• Definition of "3 HR": A single player must hit 3 or more home runs in a single game. A 4-home-run game by a single player satisfies this requirement.

• Countability: The games can feature the same player or different players (e.g., if Player A hits 3 HR in one game and Player B hits 3 HR in another game, that counts as two games).

• Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using official box scores on MLB.com or player game logs on Baseball-Reference.

Background

Hitting three or more home runs in a single game is a highly notable but rare feat in Major League Baseball, typically occurring between 10 and 20 times league-wide over the course of a full 162-game season (averaging roughly 1.5 to 3 times per month). As a recent benchmark, Colt Keith of the Detroit Tigers recorded a three-home-run game on June 15, 2026, against the Houston Astros. This market tracks whether the summer heat of mid-June to mid-July will produce at least two more such performances across the league.

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