Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, during the 2026 NFL regular season, the Green Bay Packers win at least two (2) games that are decided on the final possession of the game, with at least one (1) of those victories decided by a field goal. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Definitions & Specifications:

• "Decided on the final possession": A game is considered decided on the final possession if the final possession of the game (by either team in the 4th quarter or overtime) begins with a point differential of eight (8) points or fewer (one score), and the game concludes during or immediately following that drive (e.g., time expires, a team kneels to end the game, or a turnover/turnover on downs secures the win).

• "Won by a field goal on the final possession": This condition is met if:

  1. The Packers score a walk-off field goal as time expires in regulation or overtime.

  2. The Packers kick a go-ahead field goal in the final two (2) minutes of the 4th quarter or in overtime, which represents the final scoring play of the game, and the opponent subsequently fails to score on their final possession.

• Source of Truth: Official box scores and play-by-play logs provided by NFL.com or ESPN.

• Only regular season games in the 2026 NFL season count toward this market. Preseason and postseason games are excluded.

Background

The Green Bay Packers have historically played in numerous tight, high-stakes games decided in the final minutes. During the 2025 season, kicking consistency and game-ending drives were a major focal point for the team. With young talent navigating a highly competitive NFC North, late-game execution and final-possession efficiency are key metrics for head coach Matt LaFleur's squad. This market tracks whether the Packers can consistently close out one-score games, specifically highlighting their clutch field-goal execution.

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