I actually think the odds on May 2026 are 4%, but Manifold won't let me start there.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI, scheduled to be played on February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California.

This market will resolve to NO if any other NFL team wins Super Bowl LXI, or if the Green Bay Packers fail to win the game.

Resolution will be determined using official results from the National Football League (NFL.com | Official Site of the National Football League ) or major sports news networks (such as https://www.espn.com). If the game is delayed, postponed, or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the final outcome of the game representing the championship of the 2026–27 NFL season, whenever it is played.

Background

Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for February 14, 2027, marking the second time SoFi Stadium will host the NFL championship game. Following the 2026 NFL draft and entering the summer of 2026, major sportsbooks have placed the Green Bay Packers among the top tier of contenders, with early consensus betting odds sitting around +1400 (representing an implied probability of approximately 6.7%).

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.