Resolution criteria

This market resolves to Yes if the South Africa men's national soccer team defeats the Mexico men's national soccer team in their opening group stage match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11, 2026.

This market resolves to No if:

• Mexico wins the match.

• The match ends in a draw.

Additional Conditions:

• The official match results published on the FIFA World Cup website will serve as the source of truth for resolution.

• Because this is a group stage match, there will be no extra time or penalty shootouts; a tie at the end of regular/injury time resolves the match as a draw (No).

• If the match is postponed but played before the end of the tournament's group stage, it will resolve based on the rescheduled match. If the match is canceled entirely or not played during the tournament, this market will resolve as N/A.

Background

Mexico and South Africa are both in Group A of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Their match on June 11, 2026, scheduled at the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, serves as the historic opening match of the first-ever 48-team World Cup. This matchup is a repeat of the 2010 World Cup opener in Johannesburg, which ended in a 1-1 draw.

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