Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if I successfully create a brand new YouTube channel and upload at least one public video (including YouTube Shorts) on or before June 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.

This market will resolve to NO if I do not create a new channel, or if a channel is created but no public video or Short is published before the deadline.

Background

Starting a YouTube channel in 2026 requires navigating several updated platform policies. Recent guidelines of note include stricter mandatory disclosure and labeling for AI-generated and synthetic content, a transition from "repetitious content" rules to an "Inauthentic Content" policy targeting mass-produced uploads, and enhanced enforcement of the platform's circumvention policy, which carries implications for creators operating multiple channels under the same AdSense profile.

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