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MANIFOLD
Will I be ranked #300 or higher on the MM Fan Favorite Achievement by August 4, 2026? (I'm #366 today after 54+ days.)
3
Ṁ100Ṁ18
Aug 3
54%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets profile displays a rank of #300 or higher (a rank number of 300 or less, e.g., #300, #250, #1) for the "Fan Favorite" achievement on or before August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.

  • This market resolves to NO if the creator's rank for this achievement remains at #301 or lower (e.g., #301, #366) as of the deadline.

  • The "Fan Favorite" rank is visible on the creator's Manifold profile under the Achievements section and is based on the total number of unique traders on their created markets.

  • If Manifold Markets deprecates, hides, or alters the "Fan Favorite" rank before the deadline, the market will resolve using the last available data, or a reliable equivalent metric at the creator's discretion.

Background

The "Fan Favorite" achievement ranks Manifold creators by the number of unique traders their markets attract. As of July 18, 2026, the creator is ranked #366 after 54+ days on the platform. This market tracks whether they will rise to rank #300 or better by August 4, 2026.

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