Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if France defeats Spain in their 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal match scheduled for July 14, 2026, and advances to the tournament final.

This includes a French victory achieved during:

• Regular time (90 minutes plus injury time)

• Extra time

• A penalty shootout

This market resolves to NO if Spain defeats France and advances to the final.

The primary source of truth for this market's resolution will be the official FIFA tournament match center (fifa.com).

Background

France and Spain are set to face off in the first semifinal of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, at Dallas Stadium in Arlington, Texas. France reached the semifinals after securing a 2-0 victory against Morocco in the quarterfinals. Meanwhile, Spain kept their unbeaten run alive with a 2-1 quarterfinal win over Belgium. The winner of this match will advance to the World Cup Final on July 19, 2026, to play either Argentina or England.

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