Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Daniel Negreanu's official cumulative net profit for the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) is $0 or greater (i.e., he either breaks exactly even or finishes with a net profit). It resolves to NO if his cumulative net result is a loss (less than $0).

The primary source of truth will be the final overall tally shown in his YouTube vlogs for the 2026 WSOP, or the final figures in his official Google spreadsheet.

Resolution Details:

• Definition of "Break Even": Any cumulative net performance of exactly $0 or higher resolves to YES. Any negative cumulative total (even -$1) resolves to NO.

• Scope: This tracking includes all live and online WSOP bracelet events played and tracked on his 2026 WSOP vlog/spreadsheet. If there is a discrepancy between his final vlog wrap-up graphic and his spreadsheet, the final YouTube vlog video tally will take precedence.

• Timing: The 2026 WSOP runs from May 26 to July 15, 2026, with the Main Event final table playing out August 3–5, 2026. This market will resolve once Negreanu releases his final summer wrap-up vlog or update. If no final tally is posted by August 31, 2026, the market will resolve using reliable third-party poker database calculations (such as The Hendon Mob payouts minus his confirmed buy-ins).

Background

During the annual World Series of Poker (WSOP) in Las Vegas, Poker Hall of Famer Daniel Negreanu hosts a daily vlog series on his YouTube channel. Known for his financial transparency, Negreanu concludes each video with an updated "tally" sheet tracking his cumulative buy-ins, payouts, and overall profit or loss for the summer series.

For the 2026 WSOP, Negreanu announced an intensive schedule intending to play approximately 40 events. Earlier in the 2026 series (as of June 11, 2026), his tally sat at a net loss of $372,971, but the summer continues with several major high-roller tournaments and the Main Event. In 2025, Negreanu finished his summer WSOP run in the green with a net profit of $181,097.

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