Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if at least one team is held to 1 goal or fewer in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. It will resolve to NO if both teams score 2 or more goals.

• Active play only: Resolution is based on the official final score at the end of active play, which includes regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and extra time (30 minutes plus stoppage time, if played).

• Penalty shootouts excluded: Goals scored during a penalty shootout do not count toward either team's score.

• Examples:

  • Scores of 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, or 3-1 resolve to YES (at least one team scored 0 or 1 goals).

  • Scores of 2-2, 3-2, 4-2, or 3-3 resolve to NO (both teams scored 2 or more goals).

• Source of truth: The official match report published on the FIFA Official Website.

• Postponement/Cancellation: If the final is postponed, rescheduled, or suspended, this market will remain open until the match is officially completed. If it is not completed by August 31, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is scheduled to take place on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium (New York New Jersey Stadium) in East Rutherford, New Jersey. In football statistics, matches decided by a penalty shootout are officially recorded as draws, and shootout penalties do not count toward the teams' overall goals scored during active play. Historically, World Cup finals have varied widely in scoring: the 2022 final ended in a 3-3 draw after extra time (no team held to 1 goal or fewer), while the 2010 and 2014 finals both ended 1-0 in extra time (both teams held to 1 goal or fewer).

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