Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if a new, feature-length Star Trek film receives a commercial theatrical release in the United States or internationally on or before January 30, 2030.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
Key Clarifications:
Theatrical Release: The film must be released in public, commercial movie theaters (including limited or wide releases). Streaming-only releases or television-first movies (similar to the release format of Star Trek: Section 31 on Paramount+) will not qualify.
New Film: The film must be a new, feature-length entry in the franchise and not a theatrical re-release or remaster of a previously released movie.
Sources of Truth: Resolution will be verified using official theatrical release listings and coverage on major trade publications such as Box Office Mojo, IMDb, Deadline, or Variety.
Background
Following the theatrical release of Star Trek Beyond in 2016, the cinematic future of the franchise has faced numerous delays and developmental shifts. While television and streaming projects have continued to expand on Paramount+, a theatrical return has remained elusive.
Following Skydance Media's acquisition of Paramount, previous theatrical plans—such as Toby Haynes’ prequel project (Star Trek: Origins) and a direct sequel to the Kelvin-timeline films (Star Trek 4)—were reportedly shelved. In April 2026, Paramount confirmed during CinemaCon that a new theatrical Star Trek film is still in active development (reportedly written by Jonathan Goldstein and John Francis Daley), though no release window was announced. Industry analysts project that a new theatrical movie is unlikely to debut before late 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. This market tracks whether a movie will successfully return to theaters before the January 30, 2030 cutoff.
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