Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if 8 or more games during Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season are decided by a margin of 8 points or fewer. If 7 or fewer games meet this criterion, the market will resolve to NO.

• Definition of "one possession": A game is decided by 8 points or fewer if the final point differential between the winning and losing team is 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, or 0 (in the event of a tie).

• Source of truth: Official box scores and results published by NFL.com or ESPN.

• Postponements/Cancellations: Only games officially designated as part of "Week 1" by the NFL will count. If a game is postponed to a later date but remains officially classified under Week 1 by the NFL, its final score will be included once played. If the NFL cancels matches such that it becomes mathematically impossible to reach 8 games (e.g., fewer than 8 games are played in total), the market will resolve to NO.

Background

The 2026 NFL regular season is scheduled to kick off on Wednesday, September 9, 2026. Week 1 features a full slate of matchups. A margin of 8 points or fewer represents a "one-possession game," which is the maximum score possible on a single offensive drive (a touchdown plus a successful two-point conversion).

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.