Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if at least three (3) distinct movie, television, or video game trailers officially released in conjunction with San Diego Comic-Con 2026 each exceed 12,000,000 (12 million) views on YouTube by August 2, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.

Rules & Definitions:

• Eligible Trailers: Must be an official trailer, teaser, or first-look video publicly released online by a studio, network, or production company (e.g., Marvel Studios, Warner Bros., Disney, HBO) in connection with an official SDCC 2026 panel or presentation held between July 22 and July 26, 2026. Industry trade publications like Variety or Deadline will be used to verify if a trailer's release was officially part of the convention's programming.

• View Count Metric: Views will be measured using the single most-viewed official YouTube upload of the trailer. Views across multiple channels, unofficial re-uploads, or reaction videos will not be summed.

• Cutoff: The official public view counts on YouTube as of August 2, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT will be used for final resolution.

Background

San Diego Comic-Con 2026 takes place from July 23 to July 26, 2026, with Preview Night on July 22. Major Hollywood studios and television networks use the convention to premiere high-budget promotional footage, which often quickly amasses millions of views online. The August 2 cutoff allows trailers roughly one week after the convention's conclusion to reach the 12 million view threshold.

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