Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if there are exactly 6 or 7 knockout stage matches in the 2026 FIFA World Cup that end with an official scoreline of 3–0 or 0–3. If there are any other number of such matches, this market will resolve to NO.

The following rules and definitions apply:

• Knockout Stage Matches: Includes all matches played in the Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarter-finals, Semi-finals, Third-place play-off, and the Final (32 knockout matches in total).

• Official Scoreline: The score of the match at the conclusion of active play (which includes the 90 minutes of regular time plus stoppage, and the 30 minutes of extra time plus stoppage if played).

• Penalty Shootouts: Any match that ends in a draw and is decided by a penalty shootout does not count toward this total, regardless of the penalty shootout score (e.g., a match ending 0-0 that is won 3-0 on penalties will not count as a 3-0 scoreline).

• Source of Truth: The primary source of truth will be the official match results published on the FIFA World Cup Official Matches Portal. In the event of data issues, FBref or ESPN will be used as backup sources.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted across Canada, Mexico, and the United States, is the first tournament to feature an expanded 48-team format. This expansion introduces a brand-new Round of 32, doubling the total number of knockout stage matches from 16 (in the 32-team format) to 32 matches.

With twice as many knockout matches as prior World Cups, the likelihood of blowout matches or clean-sheet victories increases. Historically, 3–0 scorelines represent comfortable victories that often occur when there is a significant disparity in squad quality or when a trailing team concedes late goals while pushing forward.

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