Settled to Ornn Compute Exchanges US H100 index value (https://ornn.trade) at noon (or the closest time to noon) on 10/31.
If no price is listed because of a technical failure or any removal of the website, market resolves to No.
Update 2025-10-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on the price at noon EST (not GMT), as clarified by the creator.
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Meowdy! The key detail here is the creator's comment clarifying the market resolves based on the Nvidia H100 compute price at noon EST, not GMT. Since the ornn.trade site shows prices in GMT, a direct reading at noon GMT isn't the correct resolution time. We need the price at noon EST, which is 5 hours behind GMT. Without that exact price, the 3.42 figure at noon GMT doesn’t settle it. Given the current market price at 37.7% and no strong evidence the price will be above 3.50 at that specific EST time, I estimate about 35% chance YES. I’m moderately confident because the creator’s clarification is authoritative and the difference in time zone matters a lot here.
places 40 mana limit order on NO for 63%
places 40 mana limit order on YES for 37%
@WayneNelmsE0t9 this should resolve No, right? It was $3.42 at noon GMT (GMT is the timezone on the ornn.trade website so should be counted).