Will a Democrat candidate for US Senate win a state Trump won?
20
93
Ṁ836Ṁ370
2025
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If a Democrat wins a US Senate seat in a state Donald Trump won in 2020, this market resolves "Yes".
This market is for the 2024 US Senate elections and US Senate special elections from now through 2024 as long as the term goes beyond Feb 2025 otherwise its November 2024 general election result will be used. For an independent/ third party to be considered a Democrat they must commit to caucus with Democrats in the senate through election day.
Runoffs for an eligible election are exempt from any deadlines listed above.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
51% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana?
38% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?
51% chance
Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020?
42% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Ohio?
39% chance
Will a Republican candidate for US Senate win a state Biden won?
52% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Michigan?
64% chance
Will Democrats win the "blue wall" in the 2024 Senate election?
49% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 Senate election in Michigan?
68% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Nevada?
66% chance