Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025
Basic
7
Ṁ86
Feb 28
77%
chance

Based on recent Turkish military actions against Kurdish forces in Syria, this market will resolve YES if Turkey launches a significant ground offensive (involving >1000 troops) into Syria targeting Kurdish positions before March 1st 2025. Resolution will be based on reports from Reuters, AP, or other major international news agencies. Current operations and airstrikes alone do not qualify - this must be a new major ground operation.

Sources: https://www.rfi.fr/en/podcasts/international-report/20241221-turkey-steps-up-military-action-against-kurds-in-syria-as-power-shifts

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