Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the political party that secures the majority of votes in the West Coast–Jurong West Group Representation Constituency (GRC) during the 2025 Singapore General Election. The official election results, as announced by the Elections Department of Singapore, will be used to determine the outcome. If the election is postponed or canceled, the market will resolve as N/A.

Background:

In the 2020 General Election, the People's Action Party (PAP) narrowly retained West Coast GRC with 51.69% of the vote, while the Progress Singapore Party (PSP), led by Dr. Tan Cheng Bock, garnered 48.31%. (straitstimes.com)

For the upcoming 2025 General Election, the Electoral Boundaries Review Committee has redefined the constituency, renaming it West Coast–Jurong West GRC and incorporating parts of Jurong GRC, including Taman Jurong. (straitstimes.com) This area was previously represented by President Tharman Shanmugaratnam and is considered a PAP stronghold. (channelnewsasia.com)

The PSP has expressed intentions to contest in this reconfigured GRC, acknowledging the challenges posed by the inclusion of new areas with strong PAP support. (channelnewsasia.com)

Considerations:

• The redrawing of electoral boundaries and the inclusion of Taman Jurong may influence voter dynamics and party strategies in the upcoming election.

• The PAP's historical performance in the region, coupled with the PSP's previous strong showing, suggests a potentially competitive race.

• Voter sentiment and party campaigns leading up to the election will be critical factors in determining the outcome.