Question resolves yes if any credible news source or official Netflix channel declares the show canceled before airing its third season
Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A show can still be cancelled after being officially renewed for season 3. The market will resolve YES if the show is cancelled at any point before season 3 airs, even if production has begun or renewal has been announced.
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can resolve No they renewed for s3 https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/one-piece-renewed-season-3
@strutheo I think you are making the correct bet here tbc, but there is still room for a show to be cancelled even though it has been officially renewed. They haven’t started shooting season 3 yet. Things can happen during production
@VilgotHuhn you may wish to extend the close date of this market to end of 2025 or 2026, or some time one might expect a third season if it doesn't get cancelled. The market is currently set to close at the end of 2023.