Will Destiny debate Ben Shapiro within 2023? | Manifold

Will Destiny debate Ben Shapiro within 2023?

109

closes Dec 31

64%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Destiny debates or gets on a call with Ben Shapirowithin 2023 even for a debate or a call then - Yes

If not- NO

Get Ṁ500 play money

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adjopredicts NO

Anyone care to explain why this is at 70%? It hasn't happened in a decade I don't see anything special going on now

4 replies

@adjo Shapiro rarely responds to debate requests. To be honest, I don't even know if he actually sees the request. He seems extremely busy and it wouldn't be surprising if he had not heard about Destiny. However, it changed with the clip,: https://youtu.be/8nwzv3zrqwssi=FnvLthMp34GxR0Nr&t=5647 (posted 8 days ago)

also, check this: https://youtu.be/KuR5RW30mjs?si=i-BTYFWkpVp4AW9Q (posted 1 day ago)

Both seem interested in a debate. Looks promising.

Also, Lex throwing himself in to host.

Destiny & Ben Shapiro debate - post from Lex : Destiny (reddit.com ) (posted 10 hours ago)

adjopredicts NO

@higherLEVELING damn i was out of the loop. Well guess some people are gonna make money off me, but im just gonna gamble like always

duNpredicts YES

@adjo Nothing has been set up for now, and it's not certain anything will happen before 2024 anyways. That's why I ain't 90%'ing this either. We'll see

higherLEVELINGbought Ṁ0 of YES

@adjo there are probably multiple markets. U could bet no here and yes on the other. But its not even guaranteed. And maybe it wont happen this year

An Ting bought Ṁ15 NO from 65% to 64%

ChameLeon sold Ṁ9 NO at 65%

Ithaca filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ4 YES at 65% 🤖

ChameLeon bought Ṁ30 NO from 66% to 65%

adjo bought Ṁ60 NO from 68% to 66%

NiciusBotBot filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ21 NO at 68% 🤖

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ChameLeon sold Ṁ66 NO from 65% to 67%

adjo bought Ṁ50 NO from 66% to 65%

Gnarly Nervous (Gnarvous) bought Ṁ100 YES from 64% to 66%

NiciusBotBot created limit order for Ṁ9 NO at 69% (cancelled) 🤖

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UFTG bought Ṁ100 YES from 63% to 65%

UFTG bought Ṁ100 YES from 61% to 63%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ48/Ṁ100 NO at 61% (cancelled) 🤖

UFTG bought Ṁ100 YES from 61% to 63%

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Agh bought Ṁ100 YES from 56% to 58%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 56% 🤖

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Agh bought Ṁ100 YES from 68% to 70%

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Ithaca filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ4 YES at 63% 🤖

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higherLEVELING filled limit order Ṁ45/Ṁ100 YES at 60% (cancelled)

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