Will Shiv and Tom decide to divorce in the 4th season of Succession, but not the last episode of the show?
8
38
150
resolved Mar 27
Resolved
YES

If they decide and then change their mind, it still counts as long as the decision lasts to the end of an episode.

I excluded the last episode to avoid flashforwards like "in the future they eventually divorce", I want this to be plot-relevant. If they renew Succession for the next season (probably won't), the decision in the last episode of the 4th counts.

Marriage annulment or stuff like that counts. Separation without divorce doesn't.

Mar 11, 8:30am: Will Shiv and Tom decide to divorce in the last season of Succession, but not the last episode? → Will Shiv and Tom decide to divorce in a following season of Succession, but not the last episode?

Mar 11, 8:30am: Will Shiv and Tom decide to divorce in a following season of Succession, but not the last episode? → Will Shiv and Tom decide to divorce in the 4th season of Succession, but not the last episode of the show?

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@alangrow succession markets lets goo

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Shiv and Tom decide to divorce at the end of S4E1.

This is an AI bot that tries to help with ambiguous bets. Please feel free to ignore it if it's suggesting something useless. Some scenarios to consider:

- (Likely) Shiv and Tom become legally separated in the 4th season, but don't file for divorce.

- (Unlikely) Shiv and Tom's divorce decision is off-screen or only hinted at, but not explicitly shown.

- (Unlikely) Shiv and Tom agree to divorce, but it is an elaborate ruse or a strategic move.

- (Unlikely) One of the characters mentions that they have already decided to divorce in a previous, unseen conversation.

Also, some clauses to consider adding to the description:

- 'Need a clear on-screen conversation where Shiv and Tom explicitly decide to divorce.' OR 'Versus: A hint or off-screen decision can be sufficient.'

- 'Only if the divorce decision is not part of an elaborate ruse or a strategic move and is genuine.' OR 'Versus: Even if the divorce decision is part of an elaborate ruse or a strategic move, it still counts.'

- 'If the investigation shows that Shiv and Tom have genuinely decided to divorce before the current scene, but it wasn't clearly presented, it still counts.' OR 'Versus: Exclude any previously made decisions not shown on-screen.'

- 'Legal separation does not qualify as divorce.' OR 'Versus: Legal separation is sufficient, even if they don't file for divorce.'

bought Ṁ40 of NO

Tom is about to be the boss. So zero chance Zhiv leaves him, and he probably won't leave her either. They are gonna be the only ones left standing IMO.