Me and 3 friends, all of whom live in the same city, are planning a "Schelling Point Meetup", where we specify a date, but not a time or location, to hang out.

Each person's location will be determined by where they try to meet up with people. For the sake of the market, each person's time will be when they attempt to arrive (i.e. showing up early/late does not shift results).

If two people go to one point and the other two are split, the market will resolve to 2 (one pair). If two people go to one point and the other two go to another, the market will resolve 2 (two pairs).

In any other case the market will resolve to the largest number of people who meet up at the same point.

Schelling Point: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Focal_point_(game_theory)

Some relevant context

• We have discussed Schelling Points previously, including when and where generalized meetups might be in different geographic/temporal bounds. We have intentionally not discussed the location/time of a Schelling Point Meetup for our specific group (which is likely to differ from a general meetup point) in order to enable this process to happen with minimal information sharing.

• This group and subsets of it have hung out previously on a fairly regular basis. The times and locations have varied, though of course some are much more common than others.

• No one involved in the meetup will bet in this market, and we all will be attempting to make this market resolve 4.