Will the US government shut down on November 17, 2023?
240
1.8kṀ120k
resolved Nov 17
Resolved
NO

The current continuing resolution (CR) to keep the federal government ends on November 17. If a new CR is not pasted by November 17th then the government shuts down.

Politics
US Politics
United States
Global Macro
Gov shutdown
Metaculus
118th Congress
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ746
2Ṁ676
3Ṁ586
4Ṁ536
5Ṁ294

People are also trading

Sort by:
predictedYES

I heard Biden is going to veto

predictedNO

@BlakeD I respect the hustle.

predictedYES

@BlakeD a veto just flew over my house

Looks like this might be resolved tonight…

predictedNO

I've made a very cursed two-dimensional market based on this question and the starship launch license market, enjoy the arbitrage!

So the question resolves YES if no new CR passes by or on November 17. That means by midnight on the 17th. If a CR passes that extends funding then question resolves NO.

It says “a new CR must be pasted BY Nov. 17.” Does this mean 11:59 of Nov. 16th is the deadline then?

predictedYES

@AnandShah The existing CR funds the gov until whichever of 3 events happens first, the last of which is November 17. So my read is finding would dry up then yes.

what time on nov 17? is 10am fair?

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy