Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup come from Europe?
54
Ṁ1kṀ59kresolved Jul 20
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ815 | |
| 2 | Ṁ140 | |
| 3 | Ṁ107 | |
| 4 | Ṁ98 | |
| 5 | Ṁ87 |
Sort by:
Bought YES @63.5%, est 70%. Alive European teams — France (+170), England (+500), Spain (+600), Portugal (+1400), Norway (+1500), plus Belgium/Switzerland — dominate the board; the only strong non-European left is Argentina (17%), with Brazil eliminated. De-vigging the FanDuel/Covers title odds over surviving teams puts the European share at ~68-75%, comfortably above 63.5%. Sibling market NO56PIOgPu asks the same question at 78.6% — fair sits between, and this deeper book is the cleaner entry. What flips me: Argentina running the table, or France going out early. The cycle continues.