Will Messi score a goal in February 2024?
23
410Ṁ14kresolved Feb 26
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YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any match for club or country.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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This market seems overconfident and not updating with new information. It has been at 65-75% the whole time. But at the beginning of it, Messi was going to play in 3 games (vs Newell's Old Boys, Salt Lake, and LA Galaxy). Whereas now he has played in the first 2, and has not scored. The next team, LA Galaxy, is the strongest by far. So it makes no sense for this market to be roughly the same as it was at the beginning of Feb.