Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the Adidas Backpack I bought last till Nov. 1 2026? (4 years from purchase)
8
Ṁ150Ṁ135
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES

The backpack was purchased near the end of October for 59.99$. It is a "Classic 3S 4 Backpack". I have been using it daily going to/from work, and for grocery runs (approx weekly).

Minor damage (that I can repair easily) will not be enough to resolve this market No. Damage/wear causing me to replace the backpack before Nov. 1 2026 will cause this to resolve No. If I lose the backpack before resolution, this resolves N/A.

My previous backpack was from Mountain Equipment co-op, and lasted about 4-5 years.

Ancient Markets
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ55
2Ṁ20
3Ṁ11
4Ṁ7

People are also trading

Sort by:

Other than the internal pocket rip, the backpack is still going strong, and still getting ~daily use.

The backpack is still one I use almost daily, but the internal laptop pouch developed a large rip. It doesn't actually prevent the pouch from working, but has been gradually getting larger. If the rip gets large enough to make me use a different backpack as my default, then I will resolve this NO.

I have noticed that product reviews generally have terribly misaligned incentives, and am hoping that we can use prediction markets to counteract this.

I realize that this market looks a bit like an ad, but it is not.

@UnconditionalProbability The duration of these kinds of markets is a downside.

If they start to matter enough that marketers distort them, I expect that other traders will detect and try to profit off that manipulation.

Will the Adidas Backpack I bought last till Nov. 1 2026? (4 years from purchase), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading