Will another Federal Carbon tax carve-out be created before the end of 2025?
48%
chance

Recently, the Federal government added an exemption to the carbon tax for heating oil. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/canadas-energy-minister-defends-carbon-tax-carve-out-heating-oil-2023-11-06/, but promised that he would not add any other carve-outs.

Will another carve out in the federal carbon tax be created before the end of 2025? (Note that this includes a period of time after the next election, so the carve out could be added by the next government. Changes made by provincial governments will not count. Abolishing or suspending the carbon tax would cause this question to resolve Yes.)

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