Who is behind the Idaho firefighter shootings?
11
1kṀ1444
2026
10%
Drug-related actor(s) (lab, grow op, etc)
41%
Political/terrorist actor(s)
4%
Law enforcement / government friendly fire
45%
Other

Firefighters responding to a fire were shot at today in Idaho. Who will be found responsible?

Resolves N/A in 2026 if no clear perpetrator identified. Otherwise, resolves when I am convinced the culprit, or culprits have been clearly identified. May resolve to "Other" if none of the provided options are a clear fit. If there is no unambiguously correct option, I may choose to resolve to a poll.

Please suggest additional possibilities in the comments! I would allow anybody to add options, but am worried about potential overlap and ambiguity.

I will not trade in this market.

  • Update 2025-06-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The Aryan Nation will be considered a political group for the purpose of resolution.

  • Update 2025-06-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The option for a political motive is intended to encompass acts carried out for political or terrorist reasons.

    • If the correct resolution is not clear, the market may be resolved via a poll.

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