Firefighters responding to a fire were shot at today in Idaho. Who will be found responsible?
Resolves N/A in 2026 if no clear perpetrator identified. Otherwise, resolves when I am convinced the culprit, or culprits have been clearly identified. May resolve to "Other" if none of the provided options are a clear fit. If there is no unambiguously correct option, I may choose to resolve to a poll.
Please suggest additional possibilities in the comments! I would allow anybody to add options, but am worried about potential overlap and ambiguity.
I will not trade in this market.
Update 2025-06-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The Aryan Nation will be considered a political group for the purpose of resolution.
Update 2025-06-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The option for a political motive is intended to encompass acts carried out for political or terrorist reasons.
If the correct resolution is not clear, the market may be resolved via a poll.