From Wikipedia (trimmed):

In 2008, Tim McLean, a 22-year-old Canadian man, was stabbed, beheaded, and cannibalized while riding a Greyhound Canada bus. In 2009, his killer, 40-year-old Vincent Weiguang Li was found not criminally responsible for murder after it was determined that he was schizophrenic, and remanded to a high-security mental health facility until his release in 2015.

This market resolves YES if Vincent Weiguang Li is convicted of a violent offence. This offence must involve bodily harm to another human being serious enough to warrant a hospital visit. This market also resolves YES if Vincent Weiguang Li commits such a crime but is not convicted due to insanity or a similar plea.

This market resolves NO if Vincent Weiguang Li turns 80 years old or dies. They turn 80 during the year 2048.