During showdown matches, how many kills will Tumbles secure using Rollout?
4
1kṀ5283resolved Aug 26
100%97%
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/Tumbles/-can-any-manifold-user-defeat-tumbl
This market resolves once the linked market resolves. If Tumbles loses a match, any matches played afterwards just for fun do not count towards this market.
A kill counts as a 'rollout kill' if the opponent doesn't make it on stage and actionable after getting rollouted. So getting hit offstage by rollout and then getting edgeguarded counts.
Silly Uno Reverse Rule
If the opponent kills Tumbles with a rollout, that subtracts three from this market's count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.